Matt Waldman's RSP Cast

What You Value, You Measure & Dynasty Rebuilds: RSP Film & Theory w/Adam Harstad & Matt Waldman

Oct 9, 2025
In this discussion, Adam Harstad, a respected fantasy analyst and author, teams up with Matt Waldman to delve into the complexities of dynasty strategies and metrics. They explore Goodhart's Law, explaining how optimizing measurements can distort sports decisions, highlighting examples from the NFL and NBA. Adam shares insights on rebuilding fantasy teams, emphasizing the importance of timing and strategy, while also advising on undervalued player targets. Their conversation blends deep analysis with practical advice for both novice and experienced fantasy GMs.
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INSIGHT

Goodhart's Law Applies To Fantasy Metrics

  • Goodhart's Law: when a metric becomes the target, it stops being a useful measure.
  • Optimizing for the metric itself often degrades the true outcome you care about.
INSIGHT

Don't Make Drops A Draft Filter

  • Tracking drops is useful, but making 'low drops' a strict target will cost you points.
  • Avoid overvaluing a single stat that can be noisy and context-dependent.
INSIGHT

Use Size And Speed As Context, Not Cutoffs

  • Size and speed are valid measures but become harmful when used as blunt exclusion rules.
  • Context and compensatory traits matter more than rigid physical thresholds.
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