The surprise attack on Israel by Hamas last weekend upended a lot of geopolitical assumptions, but what will this mean for the economic and markets outlook? Liam Peach, a senior economist on our Macro team, and Chief Commodities Economist Caroline Bain join David Wilder to talk through the local and regional economic risks around the conflict and the potential knock-on effects on global energy markets.
Plus, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing introduces our major new work on equilibrium interest rates, why we’re moving to a world of structurally higher rates, and what this could mean for returns from bonds, equities and a host of other assets through the end of this decade.
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The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics