Markets Are Back At An All-Time High & Speculation Is Out of Control | Lance Roberts

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Jun 28, 2025

Lance Roberts, a seasoned portfolio manager and investment strategist, warns of rampant speculation among retail investors as markets hit new highs. He discusses the risks of an overbought stock market and the potential for a major correction. Topics include the rising student loan crisis, weakening housing, and cooling job markets, alongside cautionary insights on AI stocks and SPACs. Lance also explores the impact of economic indicators and legislative decisions on market dynamics, providing a thought-provoking overview for investors navigating today's landscape.

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INSIGHT

Markets at All-Time Highs Driven by AI

Market is at all-time highs with NASDAQ leading the S&P with AI-related stocks driving momentum.
Despite short-term overbought levels, money flows are positive indicating strong buying interest recently.

INSIGHT

Markets Ignore Geopolitical Worries

Market disregards geopolitical worries like World War III due to lack of impact on earnings.
Earnings outlooks currently improve, overriding many negative narratives.

INSIGHT

Record Retail Speculation Risks Market

Retail investor speculation is at unprecedented levels, especially in call options and leveraged ETFs.
Private equity pushes lesser deals into public markets, increasing risk of speculative excess.

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Portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that speculation is running rampant among retail investors now. Yes, the market is now at an all-time high and the bulls are in charge.But as stocks are back to being overbought in the short term and earnings forecasts are likely going to have to be ratcheted down sometime soon, the risk of a blow-off top followed by a reversal is not low.We discuss the odds of that, plus potential market black swans and white swans, the growing student loan default crisis, weakening housing, cooling jobs markets, as well as Lance's firm's recent trades in this week's Market Recap.

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