The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series The Syrian Consequence: Iran Goes "Defensive” || Peter Zeihan
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Dec 20, 2024 The podcast delves into Iran's shifting geopolitical landscape following the decline of the Assad regime in Syria. Historical ties between Iran and Syria are examined, revealing the challenges Iran faces without that crucial foothold. Additionally, the growing tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia are analyzed, underscoring economic influences and deep-rooted rivalries. Predictions suggest that a weakened Iran could provoke a more hostile attitude, potentially escalating regional conflicts.
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Iran's Strategy in Syria
- Iran used Syria and Hezbollah to project power and distract enemies.
- The fall of the Assad regime disrupts this strategy and leaves Iran vulnerable.
Containing Iran
- Overthrowing Iran's theocracy is difficult due to its large ruling class of mullahs.
- Containment through naval pressure and energy policy is a more realistic approach.
Pressure on Iran
- The Persian Gulf's importance in global oil trade makes Iran susceptible to pressure.
- As Iran's outer influence shrinks, external powers can exert pressure closer to home.