The David Lin Report Global War Economy; Market Needs 20% Drop | Chance Finucane
Jun 16, 2025
Chance Finucane, Chief Investment Officer of Oxbow Advisors, dives into navigating portfolio positioning amid global tensions. He discusses the impact of the Israel-Iran conflict on market dynamics and emphasizes the importance of flexibility in investment strategies. With inflation on the rise, he highlights gold's role and potential cash positions as buying opportunities. Finucane speculates on market trends for 2025, pinpointing risks and solid investment sectors while addressing the pressing need for strategies that adapt to economic shifts.
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Decade-long Stock Market Stagnation
- Periods have occurred where stocks stagnated for 13 to 16 years, e.g. 1966-82 and 2000-2013.
- We may be entering a similar decade-long consolidation with unpredictable ups and downs.
Energy Stocks Respond Cautiously
- Energy stocks react less dramatically than oil price spikes during short-term geopolitical events.
- Market views the recent Israel-Iran tension as an acute event, not a long-term oil price change.
Market Prices In Trade War Hopes
- Market prices in assumptions about U.S.-China trade reconciliation already.
- Investors expect average tariffs to settle between 25% and 40%, lowering trade war fears.