The World Next Week

Winter Stalemate in Ukraine, Argentina’s Presidential Runoff, Turkey’s President visits Berlin, and More

Nov 16, 2023

Lucy Fisher, Anna Gross, and Jim Pickard discuss Ukraine's counteroffensive, Argentina's presidential election, Turkey's President visiting Berlin, and David Cameron returning to the UK government as foreign secretary. They highlight the uncertain future of US aid to Ukraine, the economic challenges in Argentina, and Turkey's role in negotiating peace. The experts also mention the Israel-Hamas conflict, Sweden's NATO bid, and the divisions among countries on foreign policy.

28:44

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Episode guests

Lucy Fisher, Anna Gross, and Jim Pickard

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Episode notes

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Quick takeaways

The counteroffensive against Russia in Ukraine has stalled, increasing concerns about a frozen conflict and uncertainty about US aid.

Argentina's upcoming presidential runoff will determine the country's economic and foreign relations future, with concerns about voter fraud and high inflation rates.

Deep dives

Ukraine's Stalemate and Uncertain US Aid

The conflict in Ukraine has reached a stalemate, with the counter-offensive against Russia stalling in the last five months. There is growing concern about a possible escalation in Russian bombing campaigns during the coldest months of winter. The Ukrainian military acknowledges the need for new technological weapons and approaches to break the stalemate. Despite some progress in the Black Sea, the counter-offensive has not achieved its goals. The fear of a frozen conflict remains, compounded by uncertainty about US aid and the possibility of running low on manpower.

Introduction

3min

US Aid to Ukraine and European Assistance

12min

Implications and Consequences of Political Decisions

7min

Turkey's Potential Role in Negotiations and David Cameron's Return to UK Government

5min

A Person to Watch, Upcoming Events, and Podcast Information

2min

Ukraine’s counteroffensive against Russian forces stalls as the future of U.S. aid remains uncertain; Argentina gears up for its presidential election runoff while inflation rates soar; Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan arrives in Berlin to address refugee flows and the Israel–Hamas war with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz; and David Cameron returns to the United Kingdom government as foreign secretary.

Mentioned on the Podcast

Lucy Fisher, Anna Gross, and Jim Pickard, “David Cameron Brings Experience and Baggage as He Returns to Politics,” Financial Times

Brad W. Setser, “Argentina Election Draws Wider Attention to Embattled Economy,” CFR.org

“Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief on the Breakthrough He Needs to Beat Russia,” Economist

Andrew Wilks, “Turkey’s Erdogan Says He Trusts Russia as Much as He Trusts the West,” Associated Press

For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The World Next Week at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/winter-stalemate-ukraine-argentinas-presidential-runoff-turkeys-president-visits-berlin