Coffee House Shots Jenrick vs Badenoch: who won yesterday's defection?
Jan 16, 2026
Tim Shipman, a political journalist and author known for his insights on Westminster politics, joins to dissect the recent defection of Robert Jenrick to Reform. He analyzes the immediate reactions and political maneuvers in Westminster, questioning whether this converts into a major victory for Reform. The discussion highlights tensions within the Conservative party and implications for Labour amid a fracturing right. Shipman also critiques the assisted dying bill, suggesting its poorly drafted nature distracts from pressing economic issues.
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Both Sides Gained Momentum
- The Jenrick defection sharpened Conservative unity around Kemi Badenoch while boosting Reform's momentum simultaneously.
- Tim Shipman suggests both leaders emerged stronger, making medium-term prospects worse for the Conservatives.
Backlash Over Jenrick's Exit
- Many Conservative colleagues resent Robert Jenrick's manner of leaving and naming colleagues, causing a hardening of sentiment against him.
- James Heale expects this personal fallout could reduce immediate defections to Reform.
Farage's Long Game To Replace Tories
- Nigel Farage aims to replace the Conservative Party by gradually 'colonising' the right rather than merely splitting it.
- Tim Shipman notes Jenrick framed his move as uniting the right under Reform's banner.