Former Trade Talks co-host Soumaya Keynes discusses the alarming US government debt, fiscal sustainability, Modern Monetary Theory, credit rating agencies' influence, fiscal adjustments, and potential tax cut extensions' impacts on the economy.
US government debt is rapidly escalating, surpassing 100% debt to GDP ratio with a forecasted deficit of 6% of GDP.
Borrowing can be a tool for economic growth if invested wisely, necessitating a balance to ensure sustainable economic health.
Deep dives
US Government Debt and Deficit Concerns
The podcast delves into the growing US government debt, which is escalating, and questions whether the country has borrowed excessively. Statistics reveal the debt to GDP ratio surpassing 100%, with a forecasted deficit of 6% of GDP. The issue is not simply high debt levels but the rapid accumulation of debt. Economist Jason Furman highlights the concerning trend of extensively adding to the debt each year, signaling a challenging fiscal situation.
Reasons for Borrowing and Fiscal Sustainability
Discussion ensues on the rationale behind borrowing, emphasizing that debt's impact on future generations might be less drastic due to anticipated technological advancements. Borrowing is seen as a tool for economic growth if invested wisely. Moreover, maintaining a certain level of demand necessitates government borrowing, although a balance must be struck to ensure sustainable economic health.
Addressing Fiscal Sustainability and Political Challenges
The urgent need to stabilize the US debt through either expenditure cuts or revenue increases is highlighted to manage interest payments effectively. Jason Furman suggests a required fiscal adjustment of 2-5% of GDP to ensure sustainability. Historical context is cited to support the feasibility of manageable adjustments, reinforcing the critical need for political will to address looming fiscal challenges.
Former Trade Talks co-host brings you her new podcast, "The Economics Show with Soumaya Keynes". New episodes available on Apple, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you listen.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode