ACCESS Betting on reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour
9 snips
Dec 18, 2025 
Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, dives into the intriguing world of prediction markets. He explores the concept of turning public opinions into actionable markets, emphasizing how monetary stakes may yield more reliable signals than traditional polling. Tarek also discusses regulatory challenges, insider trading safeguards, and Kalshi's mission to democratize trading. With insights into the impact of misinformation and the journey toward mainstream acceptance, Tarek highlights the potential of prediction markets to reflect societal truths.
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Compensate For Not Dogfooding
- Stay close to customers when you can't dogfood your product yourself.
- Use demos, observation, and customer embedding to replicate real user behavior.
Money Adds Useful Skin In The Game
- Money creates skin in the game that shifts behavior from opinions to verifiable signals.
- That financial incentive reduces noise and biases compared with polls.
Build Markets Regulatory-First
- Treat prediction markets like regulated financial products with strong compliance systems.
- Implement KYC, surveillance, and clear insider-trading rules to protect market integrity.