Agenda Dialogues Geopolitics: An Unfolding Story
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Sep 22, 2025 
In a riveting discussion, Graham Allison, a Harvard expert on great-power competition, analyzes the intricate dynamics of the U.S.-China rivalry. Jin Keyu, an authority on tech and trade, highlights the implications of tech competition and China's shift to a consumption-driven economy. Monica Toft offers insights on how smaller states can navigate between superpowers, while Happymon Jacob raises alarms about nuclear proliferation risks amid ongoing Middle East tensions. Together, they explore the evolving geopolitical landscape and its impact on global trade.
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U.S.-China Relationship As Global Fulcrum
- The U.S.-China relationship is the fulcrum of global politics and security today.
- Graham Allison warns history suggests a high risk of major collision, but human agency can change the path.
Tech Competition Is The Core Contest
- Technology competition, especially AI, is the decisive element of U.S.-China rivalry.
- Keyu Jin notes dual-use tech has grown from ~15% to ~70% of importance in geopolitics.
Return Of Spheres Of Influence
- Spheres of influence are re-emerging regionally and globally as great-power competition deepens.
- Monica Toft warns smaller states will have to rebalance between competing powers and manage buffer zones.
