Agenda Dialogues Geopolitics: An Unfolding Story
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Sep 22, 2025 
In a riveting discussion, Graham Allison, a Harvard expert on great-power competition, analyzes the intricate dynamics of the U.S.-China rivalry. Jin Keyu, an authority on tech and trade, highlights the implications of tech competition and China's shift to a consumption-driven economy. Monica Toft offers insights on how smaller states can navigate between superpowers, while Happymon Jacob raises alarms about nuclear proliferation risks amid ongoing Middle East tensions. Together, they explore the evolving geopolitical landscape and its impact on global trade.
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Global Order Unraveling, South Seeks Agency
- The rules-based international order is unraveling but remains contested in value.
- Happymon Jacob argues the Global South may prefer disorder that allows greater agency than great-power consensus.
NPT Regime Under Strain
- Recent strikes and interventions risk weakening the non-proliferation regime and encouraging 'friendly' proliferation.
- Happymon Jacob highlights that geopolitical permissibility for going nuclear looks larger today than in decades.
Unnatural Success Of Non-Proliferation
- Keeping global nuclear proliferation limited was an extraordinary long-term achievement now eroding.
- Graham Allison warns widespread possession would increase the frequency of nuclear crises and wars.
