The Intelligence from The Economist Fighting chance: Ukraine prepares for counter-offensive
Apr 19, 2023
Shashank Joshi, The Economist's defence editor, and James Miles, a writer focusing on China's Wenzhou diaspora, discuss the critical preparations for Ukraine's counter-offensive against Russian forces. Joshi analyzes the strategic significance of targeted regions and the logistical challenges faced by Ukraine. Miles shares insights into how Wenzhou migrants are reshaping European business landscapes, emphasizing their entrepreneurial spirit. They also reflect on a 50-year-old film that eerily foreshadows today's global crises, blending politics and dystopia.
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Ukraine's Counter-Offensive Focus
- Ukraine's counter-offensive aims to reclaim the south, severing Russia's land bridge to Crimea.
- This area is strategically vital but heavily fortified by Russian defenses.
Ukraine's Offensive Force Composition
- Ukraine's offensive force comprises twelve brigades, nine equipped by Western allies.
- Despite substantial equipment like tanks and artillery, weaknesses exist in armor and numbers.
Ukraine's Counter-Offensive Strategy
- Concentrating forces is crucial for an attack, but makes them vulnerable to detection.
- Ukraine may use smaller, deceptive offensives to confuse Russia before a main attack.
