Bloomberg Surveillance

Markets Await a September Cut

31 snips
Sep 15, 2025
Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, discusses the potential for a quarter-point interest rate cut and its impacts on U.S. markets amidst slowing job growth. Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at Partners Group, highlights the equity rally fueled by favorable trends in private markets and the lowest Treasury yields in months. Both guests analyze the challenges facing global economies and U.S. market dynamics, while exploring the balance between investor optimism and persistent inflation risks.
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INSIGHT

Equity Rally Can Continue On A 'Solid' US

  • Seema Shah expects equities to keep rising as long as the US economy remains "solid" and avoids recession.
  • She calls the outlook "meh": positive returns likely but not spectacular gains.
ADVICE

Expect A 25bp Cut, Not An Emergency 50bp

  • Seema Shah puts high probability on a 25 basis-point Fed cut rather than 50 basis points.
  • She warns a 50 would be driven more by politics than by economic data.
INSIGHT

Labor Slowdown Without Immediate Recession

  • Labour demand is slowing while labour supply offsets some weakness, keeping recession risks limited for now.
  • The Fed should act to prevent deterioration that could turn the slowdown into recession.
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