Crypto Update | Crypto-Friendly Rep. Tom Emmer Throws Hat in Ring for U.S. House Speaker Role
Oct 23, 2023
auto_awesome
Tom Emmer, a crypto-friendly representative, throws his hat in the ring for U.S. House Speaker role. The podcast explores the recent performance of the crypto market, discusses political developments impacting crypto bills, and analyzes the upcoming election in Argentina and its potential impact on the economy, including digital assets.
Despite rising bond yields, crypto prices, especially Bitcoin, are climbing, indicating its growing role as a safe haven asset in volatile markets.
The delay in selecting a speaker for the US House of Representatives and the outcome of Argentina's presidential runoff election could have significant implications for the crypto market.
Deep dives
Crypto Market Performance
The recent days have seen extraordinary performance in the crypto market, with Bitcoin and smaller tokens climbing despite expectations that rising bond yields should hurt crypto prices. Bitcoin is up 2.5% over the past 24 hours, 13% over the past week, and 15% over the past month. Ether is also experiencing gains, up 3% today. Other tokens like Dogecoin, Matic, Chainlink, and offer are seeing even better performance, up by double digits. The strong performance of Bitcoin is influenced by factors such as expectations of spot ETF approval and growing confidence in its role as a safe haven asset in volatile markets. Although it's unclear if this is the start of a major rally or just a temporary shift.
Strange Bond Market Behavior
The bond market is behaving unusually, with climbing yields not causing a simultaneous rise in the US dollar. Normally, higher US yields lead to increased demand for dollars, but the dollar has been trending slightly downwards. This could be due to expectations of rising Japanese interest rates prompting investors to move funds from dollars to yen. Another anomaly is that the drop in bond prices, usually seen as a safe haven, has not resulted in investors rotating into US government bonds. Instead, Bitcoin is exhibiting more safe haven characteristics than US treasuries.
Political Developments and their Impact on Crypto Markets
In US politics, the delayed selection of a speaker for the House of Representatives could impact the outlook for crypto markets. The delay affects the progress of two important crypto bills concerning stablecoins and federal rules for crypto markets. Representative Tom Emmer, a prominent crypto supporter, has put his name forward as a candidate for speaker, which could be positive for crypto markets. Argentina's recent presidential elections also highlight the potential impact of politics on crypto markets. The top two candidates, Sergio Massa and Javier Millet, have contrasting economic approaches, with Millet being pro-Bitcoin and advocating for a dollar standard. The results of the upcoming runoff election could be a test for voters' willingness to take risks and a glimpse into the role of digital assets in regions grappling with inflation and political stagnation.
Noelle Acheson, the mind behind the Crypto Is Macro Now newsletter, explores safe havens, politics and crypto prices climbing despite rising U.S. yields.
CME Group Cryptocurrency futures and options provide market-leading liquidity for bitcoin and
ether trading. These cash-settled contracts give full exposure to crypto performance without the
hassle of holding the physical position. No digital wallet? No problem. Trade nearly 24/7 in a
transparent, CFTC-regulated market. Visit cmegroup.com/crypto to learn more.
Disclaimer:
This communication is not directed to investors located in any particular jurisdiction and is not
intended to be accessed by recipients based in jurisdictions in which distribution is not
permitted. The information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of
actual market experience. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance.
Trading derivatives products involves the risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether futures
or options are appropriate to your financial situation.
-
This episode was hosted by Noelle Acheson. “Markets Daily” is executive produced by Jared Schwartz and produced and edited by Eleanor Pahl. All original music by Doc Blust and Colin Mealey.