The Republican legal strategy ahead of the US presidential election
Nov 4, 2024
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In this thought-provoking conversation, Ron Brownstein, a seasoned political analyst, and Emily Bazelon, a legal expert from Yale, delve into the Republican party's legal strategies as the election nears, examining demographic shifts and polling trends. Former British PM Boris Johnson shares insights from his new book, championing Brexit and discussing the implications of a potential Trump presidency for Ukraine. Lingling Wei, chief China correspondent, reveals China's concerns over a second Trump term and analyzes its effects on U.S.-China relations.
The Republican legal strategy involves extensive court challenges that reflect demographic shifts and evolving voter dynamics in key states.
Boris Johnson warns that a Trump presidency could jeopardize U.S. commitment to Ukraine, impacting global stability amid rising geopolitical tensions.
Deep dives
Future-Proofing Businesses
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The Impact of January 6
The events of January 6, 2021, serve as a crucial turning point in American politics, marked by significant actions that could have led to a constitutional crisis. Following the violent assault on the Capitol, attempts to overturn a legitimate electoral outcome were made by Donald Trump and many of his allies, with a worrying number of Republicans supporting these efforts. The pressure on Vice President Mike Pence to reject electoral votes highlighted a serious undermining of democratic processes, revealing a moment where character and leadership were put to the test. While some Republican leaders condemned the violence, many later returned to support Trump, demonstrating the fragile nature of political accountability and integrity in the face of partisan loyalty.
Voter Dynamics and Polling Trends
Current voter dynamics indicate a significant realignment, with greater emphasis being placed on gender and education as divisive factors in the upcoming election. The narrowing of traditional divisions along race and age suggests a more complex electoral landscape, particularly in key battleground states such as Michigan and Pennsylvania. Polling data reveals that Kamala Harris shows promise, with some polls suggesting she is leading in several crucial areas compared to Donald Trump, indicating a possible shift in voter sentiment. The volatility of late-deciding voters and the robust Democratic ground game in these states adds further uncertainty to the final outcomes and could potentially influence historical trends.
International Perspectives on U.S. Elections
The relationship between the U.S. and its international allies significantly factors into the dynamics of the upcoming election, particularly concerning the support for Ukraine amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Boris Johnson expresses concern that a potential Trump victory could lead to a diminished commitment from the U.S. towards Ukraine, complicating the already precarious situation. He emphasizes that the repercussions of this conflict will extend beyond Europe, affecting global stability, especially if Putin's aggression succeeds. Additionally, the Chinese perspective on the election reveals their strategic thinking regarding trade relationships and geopolitical alignments, indicating that the outcome may have far-reaching implications for international relations.
With two days to left before Tuesday’s election, Fareed is joined by Ron Brownstein, a senior editor at The Atlantic, and Emily Bazelon, staff writer for The New York Times Magazine. They discuss the demographic shifts in party affiliation, the latest polling, and the Republican strategy of flooding the courts with legal challenges ahead of the election.
Then, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson joins the show to discuss his new book “Unleashed,” why he still believes Brexit was the right decision, and his hopeful outlook on Western support for Ukraine under a possible second Trump presidency.
Finally, The Wall Street Journal’s chief China correspondent Lingling Wei speaks with Fareed about how China is seeing the US election, and explains why Chinese leader Xi Jinping might be wary of a second Donald Trump presidency.
GUESTS: Ron Brownstein (@RonBrownstein), Emily Bazelon (@emilybazelon), Boris Johnson (@BorisJohnson), Lingling Wei (@Lingling_Wei)
