The Intelligence from The Economist Cautiousness in the Caucasus: Azerbaijan and Armenia clash
Sep 14, 2022
Piotr Zalewski, The Economist's Turkey correspondent, and Greg Karlstrom, the Middle East correspondent, dive into the simmering conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia, examining historical tensions and recent clashes fueled by Azerbaijan’s confidence amid a distracted Russia. They also discuss how rising oil prices impact Gulf states' spending, sparking debates on future investments versus social responsibility. Plus, explore the trend of virtual weddings in Lebanon as couples adapt to modern challenges. It's a fascinating blend of geopolitics and cultural evolution!
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Renewed Clashes in the Caucasus
- Renewed clashes between Azerbaijan and Armenia have resulted in nearly 100 reported deaths.
- Each side blames the other, reminiscent of the 2020 conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh.
Unresolved Tensions
- The 2020 war ended with a Russian-imposed ceasefire, not a peace agreement, leaving tensions unresolved.
- Recent heavy fighting marks the worst violence since then, with Azerbaijan seemingly launching an attack on Armenian positions.
Azerbaijan's Strategic Advantage
- Azerbaijan may be exploiting Russia's distraction with the war in Ukraine.
- Azerbaijan's growing importance as an energy supplier to Europe might also embolden it.