Bloomberg Surveillance

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Troy Gayeski

Nov 7, 2025
Troy Gayeski, Chief Market Strategist at Future Standard, shares his insights on market dynamics and AI-related investments. He discusses the tension between hefty AI spending, which benefits companies like NVIDIA, and the sustainability of future cash flows. Gayeski forecasts a near-term market consolidation, expecting fundamentals to regain importance after recent earnings reports. He also adds a personal touch by recounting his struggles with thermodynamics during his early days at MIT, making for an engaging and informative conversation.
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ANECDOTE

Personal Take On Shutdown Pain

  • Tom Keene shares personal concern about the government shutdown's real economic pain.
  • He highlights missed paychecks and operational disruptions like TSA five weeks into the shutdown.
INSIGHT

AI Spending Drives Market Leadership

  • AI capex, especially NVIDIA and hardware, is driving current market leadership but raises sustainability questions.
  • Troy Gayeski says fundamentals will reassert after a consolidation period around AI stocks.
ADVICE

Wait For Earnings And Consolidation

  • Wait through the expected consolidation before trading for material upside.
  • Use NVIDIA's upcoming earnings as a catalyst to reassess positions when fundamentals reassert.
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