The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 999: The Tight End Dead Zone
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Jul 8, 2025 Dive into the concept of the 'tight end dead zone' in fantasy drafts, where player selection can make or break your season. Analyze how average draft positions fail to reflect actual performance, especially among non-elite tight ends. Discover the importance of cautious drafting in the mid-rounds, with insights on target shares that could guide your strategy. Plus, get excited about a new app that offers a chance to win a massive $15 million grand prize, ramping up your fantasy football experience!
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Tight End Dead Zone Defined
- Tight ends have a "dead zone" in drafts where their hit rates drop significantly.
- You should be cautious about drafting tight ends in this mid-to-late round range due to low predictability.
R-Squared Explains Draft Predictability
- R-squared measures how well draft position predicts fantasy points for tight ends.
- High R-squared means earlier picks more likely score more points, validating early round tight end selections.
2024 Tight End Draft Correlation Collapsed
- In 2024, there was zero correlation between top 12 tight ends' ADP and their actual fantasy performance.
- This made drafting top tight ends in 2024 unpredictable and less reliable.