The New Statesman: politics and culture Should Labour sack Starmer to beat Reform?
Oct 27, 2025
Harry Clarke-Eziddio, a political reporter who recently covered the Caerphilly by-election, joins the discussion on the surprising election results and their implications for Labour and Reform. He shares insights on local voter sentiment and the missteps of Reform's campaign. The podcast delves into whether Keir Starmer can lead Labour to overcome growing challenges, especially with the rise of Plaid Cymru. The conversation also touches on the significance of the new deputy leader, Lucy Powell, and her potential impact on Labour's strategy moving forward.
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Reform Is Beatably But Labour Is Vulnerable
- The Caerphilly by-election showed Reform UK can be beaten despite heavy campaigning and big spending.
- Plaid Cymru seized tactical votes and decimated Labour's share, exposing Labour's vulnerability in traditional heartlands.
On-the-Ground Campaigning In Caerphilly
- Harry Clarke-Eziddio reported Nigel Farage campaigned in Caerphilly and Reform spent heavily on digital ads and events.
- The Reform candidate's abrasive comments on immigration appeared to alienate women and some local voters.
Polls Reveal Deeper Vote Dynamics
- Polling-model adjustments suggest Labour's true vote in Caerphilly was higher than the raw result, and Plaid led on polling at 29%.
- Reform still registers strong support (around 35%), so Plaid must close a gap to displace them consistently.