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THE MINING POD: IREN $875M Note, Luxor Energy, Record BTC ETF Flows

Oct 10, 2025
Ethan Vera, COO of Luxor, returns to discuss IREN's impressive $875 million convertible note and its implications for the AI cloud sector. He highlights Luxor's new ERCOT-certified retail electric provider, enabling miners to transact in Bitcoin for energy. Ethan also dives into the record $5.95 billion inflow of crypto ETFs and its effects on the market. Additionally, he touches on the estimated 14.05% of Bitcoin hash rate coming from China and the future of intelligent mining and AI integration.
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INSIGHT

Difficulty Likely To Drop Soon

  • Network difficulty has surged recently but a negative adjustment is likely soon as block times slow.
  • Hash rate remains above one zeta-hash while hash price sits near $50.81/PHash/day, pressuring miner economics.
INSIGHT

Luck May Explain Recent Hashrate Swing

  • Difficulty drops typically stem from three buckets: fundamental unplugs, weak economics, or luck.
  • Ethan leans toward luck driving recent high hashrate and expects reversion rather than economic-driven exits.
ANECDOTE

Iron's Big AI Deal And Convertible Note

  • Iron (IREN) disclosed a two-year AI GPU contract worth about $225M and then issued an $875M convertible note.
  • The convertible note carries 0% interest and converts initially at $85 per share, ~42% above the prior price.
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