Legal experts Bradley Moss and Josh Hammer join Krystal and Saagar to analyze the Trump Trial, discussing the indictment, evidence of guilt, implications of prosecuting a former president, and the potential consequences of Trump going to prison and getting re-elected. They also explore the Chicago Mayoral race, Wisconsin Supreme Court election, population shift in major cities, media bias in interpreting race results, and the significance of campaign finance issue.
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Quick takeaways
The outcome of a Trump conviction and subsequent election victory is uncertain and would depend on various factors and actions taken by different stakeholders.
It is challenging to predict how Trump would react to political actions if he were to win the 2024 election.
A Trump conviction and subsequent victory could set a dangerous precedent for future presidents and candidates.
The specific outcomes and implications of a Trump victory and subsequent conviction are uncertain and would involve legal challenges, constitutional questions, and political debates.
The indictment and statement of facts in the Trump case are legally weak, according to legal expert Josh Hammer.
Deep dives
Uncertain Territory: What Happens If Trump Wins and Gets Convicted?
If former President Trump were to win the 2024 election and then get convicted, there is no clear roadmap or guidelines for what would happen. The situation would be unprecedented, and there are no established procedures for a convicted president taking office. It is likely that legal challenges and constitutional questions would arise, and it would be up to the courts and the political system to determine the next steps. The outcome would depend on various factors and the actions taken by different stakeholders, making it difficult to predict the exact course of events.
Trump's Reaction to Political Actions
It is challenging to predict how Trump would react to political actions if he were to win the 2024 election. While Trump has a history of seeking retribution and seeking justice against his adversaries, including his calls for investigations into Hunter Biden and President Biden, the specific actions he would take would depend on the circumstances, the advice of his advisors, and the prevailing political climate. It is possible that he would seek to use the power of the presidency to address perceived wrongdoing and pursue investigations, but the exact course of action cannot be predetermined.
Precedent and Future Presidents
A Trump conviction and subsequent election victory could set a potentially dangerous precedent for future presidents and presidential candidates. It could establish a norm where legal issues and criminal charges become even more politically charged and weaponized. It could further polarize the political landscape and lead to increased calls for investigations and prosecutions against political opponents. This could undermine trust in the legal system and perpetuate a cycle of retaliatory actions between different administrations. It would be important for the courts, the legal system, and the political system to carefully navigate these potential challenges to ensure the integrity of the presidency and the rule of law.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the specific outcomes and implications of a Trump victory and subsequent conviction are uncertain and would depend on various factors and actions taken by different stakeholders. There is no established roadmap or guideline for this scenario, and it would likely involve legal challenges, constitutional questions, and political debates. The situation would be unprecedented, and it would require the courts and the political system to address and resolve these issues. Only time will tell how events would unfold.
Trump faces weak legal case, Ross says
The indictment and statement of facts in the Trump case are weak legally, according to legal expert Josh Hammer. He argues that there is no serious criminal charge against Trump, including the alleged campaign finance violation, and that Trump's actions may be protected under the First Amendment and Commander-in-Chief powers. Hammer suggests that the Georgia case may be the least legally dubious, but overall, he sees no strong legal jeopardy for Trump in any of the cases.
Wisconsin Supreme Court flips from conservative to liberal
Janice Patassewitz has defeated Daniel Kelly for the Wisconsin Supreme Court, resulting in a shift from conservative to liberal control of the court. This victory is seen as a referendum on Scott Walker's conservative era in Wisconsin. The race was framed as a battle between the pro-choice and pro-life sides, with the pro-choice voters successfully mobilizing and turning out in greater numbers. The outcome will have significant implications for various issues, including abortion rights and gerrymandering.
Legal implications and next steps for Trump
The indictment against Trump is seen as weak legally, with uncertainties surrounding the elevation of charges to a felony and the potential use of federal campaign finance laws. Trump's legal team is expected to file motions, including potentially a venue change, and the case could take several months before going to a jury. Trump's lawyers may also advise him to adopt a more controlled and boring tone in his public statements. The political implications and potential backlash from these cases are also being closely watched.
Key Point 1: A bill of particulars will be filed by the Trump team
The Trump team plans to ask for a bill of particulars to obtain more information about the specific state laws that Alvin Bragg will be relying upon to elevate the charges to a felony. This will help the Trump team evaluate their defense strategy and consider pretrial motions, such as dismissing the case or reducing the charges. While Bragg may not provide as much detail as desired, more information is expected to be revealed during the trial and through the discovery process.
Key Point 2: The documents case stands out as the most significant
Among the potential legal challenges faced by Trump, the documents case is considered the most solid and significant. Unlike other cases involving election laws or the January 6th events, this case centers on Trump's use of personal funds to reimburse Michael Cohen for payments made to Stormy Daniels. The ability to produce clear documentation and the allegations of obstruction of justice in concealing the payments make this a distinct and narrow case. It is anticipated that this case will have the greatest impact, regardless of the outcome of other legal challenges.
Krystal and Saagar are joined by Ryan and Emily to break down and analyze the Trump Trial. They're joined by legal experts Bradley Moss (@BradMossEsq) and Josh Hammer (@josh_hammer) to give their opposite perspectives, we talk the Chicago Mayor race, the Wisconsin Supreme court, and we answer questions from our premium subscribers.