Main Engine Cut Off T+310: NASA’s “Prove It” Era
Sep 26, 2025
NASA has shifted to a 'prove-it' era, demanding more from companies before awarding contracts. Blue Origin has been selected to potentially revive the VIPER rover mission, while the Dream Chaser faces setbacks that may end its ISS role. The new commercial space station strategy emphasizes demonstration over promises, reflecting a significant change in how NASA engages with private partners. This approach could increase costs and impose stricter bidding requirements, possibly sidelining newer vendors in the space industry.
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NASA's 'Prove-It' Strategic Shift
- NASA is entering a "prove-it" era where vendors must demonstrate flight success before winning consequential contracts.
- This shifts NASA from active development patron to a buyer who prefers demonstrated reliability over early risk-sharing.
Viper's Tumultuous Path
- Viper's cost growth made NASA reluctant to risk it on an unproven Astrobotic Griffin first landing.
- NASA canceled Viper and invited others to take it on without extra government funding, keeping data rights for itself.
Blue Origin's Bespoke CLPS Award
- Blue Origin won a unique CLPS design study as the sole bidder with an option contingent on a prior successful Blue Moon landing.
- That bespoke deal suggests informal talks shaped procurement, leaving other vendors unable to match the contingency timeline.