Ian Bremmer, President of the Eurasia Group and a leading voice on political risk, discusses the top geopolitical threats looming in 2025. He highlights the potential breakdown of the global order and the implications of Trump's possible return to power. Tensions between major global players are escalating, alongside a worrying rise in kleptocracy and its effects on democracy. The complex dynamics of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and its humanitarian implications further illustrate the instability confronting international relations.
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insights INSIGHT
Shifting Global Order
The global order is breaking down, with rising tensions between major powers.
The U.S. is rejecting global leadership and adopting an "America First" approach.
insights INSIGHT
Winners vs. Leaders
American democracy and capitalism face a challenge as leaders prioritize winning over unity.
This focus on individual success creates division and tribalism, making the world more dangerous.
insights INSIGHT
U.S. Strength and Internal Divisions
The U.S. is strong, but its internal political system is increasingly dysfunctional.
American prosperity isn't equally distributed, leading to division.
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In this book, Ian Bremmer argues that globalism has created significant winners and losers, particularly in the developed world. The middle class has been left behind, and this has led to a backlash against globalism, manifesting in populist and nationalist movements. Bremmer discusses how events like Brexit and the election of Donald Trump are symptoms of this broader issue. He also explores the impact of technological changes, such as AI and automation, on job markets and societal stability. The book warns of the ongoing spread of populism and the need for new social contracts between citizens and governments to address these issues.
Us vs. Them
The Failure of Globalism
Ian Bremmer
In this book, Ian Bremmer argues that globalism has left many in the middle class behind, particularly in developed countries, and has not met the aspirations of the rising working and middle classes. This has led to a rise in 'us vs. them' politics, where populist politicians exploit economic and cultural insecurities. Bremmer discusses the need for new social contracts and public investments in education and infrastructure to address these issues and prevent further fragmentation. He also examines the political trends in major developing countries and their impact on the global economy[1][4][5].
The Power of Crisis
How Three Threats—and Our Response—Will Change the World
Ian Bremmer
In this revelatory, unnerving, and ultimately hopeful book, Ian Bremmer draws lessons from global challenges of the past 100 years to show how we can respond to three great crises unfolding over the next decade. Bremmer discusses global health emergencies, transformative climate change, and the AI revolution, and how these crises can be used to innovate our way toward a better world. He provides a roadmap for surviving—even thriving—in the 21st century by drawing on strategies both time-honored and cutting-edge, from the Marshall Plan to the Green New Deal.
Ian Bremmer, the president and founder of the Eurasia Group, joins Scott to discuss what he believes are the year’s top geopolitical risks. These risks include the breakdown of the global order, Trump’s return to office, along with escalating tensions between major powers all over the world.