Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Jiang Xueqin: Predictions for 2026 - Empire, Rivalry & Collapse
28 snips
Jan 5, 2026 
Jiang Xueqin, a predictive historian and the mind behind the popular YouTube channel Predictive History, offers a fascinating forecast for 2026. He dives into the U.S.-China rivalry, analyzing Trump's pivotal April visit to China as a game-changer. Jiang explores historical roots of dollar hegemony, critiques European responses to Russia, and predicts rising tensions between China and Japan over Taiwan. He discusses the risks of the AI investment bubble and U.S. military strategies that might reshape geopolitical alliances—all through the lens of game theory and historical patterns.
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Geopolitics As A Game Of Self-Interest
- Jiang Xueqin analyzes geopolitics as a self-interest game solvable with game theory rather than ideology.
- He emphasizes predicting outcomes by modeling players maximizing their interests.
April China Visit Will Be Pivotal
- Jiang predicts Trump’s April 2026 China state visit will define the year and U.S.-China relations.
- He frames U.S. tactics (e.g., Venezuela intervention) as attempts to force Chinese dollar dependence.
Petrodollar And China Opened Dollar Hegemony
- Jiang links the Nixon-era opening to China and the petrodollar to the dollar's global dominance.
- He argues U.S. policy now seeks to coerce China into continued dollar dependence.
