Here's Why Getting US Election Results Is So Complicated
Nov 5, 2024
auto_awesome
Megan Crane, Bloomberg's Washington DC editor, delves into the complexities of US election results. She explains the delay factors, including mail-in ballots and varying state rules. Historical election outcomes highlight unpredictability. Crane also tackles ballot curing and tracking processes, particularly in Pennsylvania, revealing how recent changes may affect counting times. The discussion emphasizes the resilience of the U.S. election system amid political tensions and the evolving landscape of voting methods.
The decentralized election process in the U.S. leads to significant variability in ballot counting methods across the 51 jurisdictions.
The rise of mail-in voting and new regulations can prolong election result certifications, complicating the timeline of declaring a winner.
Deep dives
State Variability in Election Processes
Each U.S. state has its own rules governing election processes, leading to significant variability in how ballots are counted. Some states, for instance, count mail-in ballots as they arrive, while others may wait until Election Day to begin the process. In North Carolina, voters have a window of several days after the election to ensure their ballots are counted, which can greatly extend the waiting period for results if the election is tight. This decentralized approach means that understanding election outcomes can be complex, as there are essentially 51 separate elections happening simultaneously.
Impact of Mail-In Voting
Mail-in voting has gained popularity, especially since the modifications made during the COVID-19 pandemic that made it easier to vote remotely. States like Oregon and Washington predominantly use mail-in ballots, which have influenced voter turnout and expectations in recent elections. In Pennsylvania, new regulations mandate that ballots cannot be opened until Election Day, potentially delaying results even more in closely contested races. This modification, coupled with a historically high early voting turnout, raises questions about the efficiency of counting in light of increasing mail-in participation.
Challenges of Result Certification
The process of certifying election results can lead to delays, often exacerbated by legal challenges from various stakeholders involved in the election. These challenges can emerge from disputes over how votes are counted and certified, and they can extend the timeline for final results. Despite the potential for complications, experts note that the intricacy of the U.S. electoral system serves as a safeguard against election fraud, making it effectively impossible to manipulate the outcome. Hence, while the system is complex and messy, it is also designed to ensure fairness and transparency, helping to maintain trust in the electoral process.
In 2020, it took almost four days to find out who had been elected US President. In 2000, the decision from the Supreme Court didn't come until mid-December. This year, a high number of mail-in ballots, the closeness of the race and new election processes in some states may mean it takes longer to determine a winner. Our Washington DC editor Magan Crane joins host Stephen Carroll to discuss.