Will Real Estate Benefit From Canada's New Government?

Yesterday Canada held its Federal election. While Canada has a number of political parties, it was really a 2 party race. Mark Carney running for prime minister is head of the liberal party and Pierre Poilievre is head of the conservative party. 

When Justin Trudeau stepped aside a few months ago, the liberal party elected a new leader in Mark Carney. Mark Carney served as governor of the bank of Canada, and in an unusual step as governor of the bank of England. To have the bank of England select an outsider to head their central bank was an unusual step. But it was clear that Mark Carney had earned a considerable amount of trust globally as a solid central banker. He presided over the Bank of Canada through the GFC in 2008 and frankly Canada was largely unaffected by the crisis in the US, which did by the way spill over into Europe.

The one central figure in the election was not even a candidate. Donald Trump’s statements about trade, annexation, military spending, and border security became defining issues in the election. 

The Canadian people have spoken and the country has elected a liberal minority government. 

My assessment is that the conservative leader continued to use campaign slogans from 6-12 months ago. He failed to pivot to the reality on the ground which was the new candidate facing him in Mark Carney, and he failed to pivot in a way that will address the negotiation with Donald Trump. Mark Carney did a much more convincing job of demonstrating leadership throughout the campaign. Pierre Poilievre did not play the part of Prime Minister and I believe that he did not convince the electorate at large that he was up to the job. This election had extremely high voter turnout compared with previous elections.

As a developer who is active in both Canada and the US, I really would have been happy with either party winning the election. Both had pretty decent initiatives aimed at stimulating housing. The strong fundamentals combined with a removal of several barriers makes investment in some markets in Canada extremely attractive. 

On today's show we are going through the real estate incentives in the liberal platform.

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