The Everything Feed - All Packet Pushers Pods HS110: Cryptocalypse Soon! The CRQCs Are Due Sooner Than We Thought
Aug 19, 2025
The rapid rise of quantum computing poses an imminent threat to traditional encryption, with estimates suggesting it could arrive much sooner than expected. The discussion emphasizes the urgent need for post-quantum encryption technologies and thorough security audits, especially for industries relying on IoT. Vendor accountability is highlighted as critical in maintaining robust cybersecurity practices. Listeners are encouraged to engage with emerging technologies and ask vital questions to safeguard their data against the impending 'cryptocalypse'.
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Google Shrinks The CRQC Timeline
- Google revised CRQC resource estimates down dramatically, cutting qubit needs from ~20M to under 1M.
- Advances in algorithms and error correction make a useful CRQC much more likely and sooner than previously thought.
Multiple Qubit Paths Speed Breakthroughs
- Multiple qubit types and rapid improvements increase the chance of an early breakthrough.
- The hosts view 2030 more as an upper bound than a midpoint for CRQC arrival.
Start Moving Sensitive Data To Quantum-Safe Crypto
- Start migrating sensitive data away from non-quantum-safe public-key crypto now.
- Treat symmetric encryption or post-quantum algorithms as urgent controls for high-value data.
