Analyzing the valuation of Big Tech companies and their potential for growth through AI integration. Exploring the caution needed due to expensive prices surpassing intrinsic value. Discussion about a demo of a new device and its features. The United States credit rating outlook being changed to negative by Moody's. The lower than expected opening weekend box office earnings for a movie and the implications for Disney.
Despite their recent stock price increases, big tech companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon still offer value and are likely to benefit from the growth of the AI industry.
While acknowledging the quality and long-term growth potential of big tech companies, caution is advised as their valuations have become inflated compared to their intrinsic values, indicating a need to hold back on buying more shares at current prices.
Deep dives
Big Tech Value and Growth Potential
The podcast discusses the valuation and growth potential of big tech companies, including Apple, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon. The speaker highlights that these companies have strong fundamentals, dominant market positions, and long-term growth prospects. Despite their recent stock price increases, the speaker believes that they still offer value and are likely to benefit from the AI industry's growth, given their massive install base and commercial client relationships.
Caution in Big Tech Investing
The podcast alerts listeners to the inflated valuations of big tech companies compared to their intrinsic values. The speaker enumerates increasing Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios and declining free cash flow yields, indicating that companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon have become more expensive this year. While acknowledging their quality and long-term growth potential, the speaker advises caution and suggests holding back on buying more shares at current prices.
Mixed Results for Big Tech and Other News
The podcast covers various news topics, including a demo of an AI clip product, Moody's negative outlook on the US credit rating, and the underperformance of the new Marvels movie by Disney. The AI clip product demonstration receives praise for its features, but some reservations are expressed about the practicality of using voice commands and hand projections. Moody's negative outlook on the US credit rating is seen as a reflection of widening budget deficits and political polarization. The low box office performance of the Marvels movie prompts a discussion on the potential need for Disney to diversify its content and address superhero movie fatigue among audiences.