In Moscow's Shadows In Moscow's Shadows 217: MiGs in Estonian skies, exercises on Poland's borders - a threat to Europe?
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Sep 21, 2025 Recent incursions by MiGs in Estonian airspace raise concerns about Western military responses. The discussion delves into the implications of Russian exercises in Belarus, showcasing outdated tactics and logistical issues. Carlo Masala's critique highlights the dangers of fatalism in the West, suggesting it could embolden Russia. Additionally, the political landscape shifts as Dmitry Kozak exits, hinting at a tightening grip on dissent within the Kremlin. It’s a captivating exploration of current geopolitical tensions and their potential consequences.
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MiG-31 Incursion Was Signalling Not Strike
- The MiG-31s' 12-minute crossing was deliberate coercive signalling rather than an imminent attack.
- NATO avoided escalation by proportionate responses under international law and rules of engagement.
Western Alarm Can Empower Kremlin Signals
- Public overreaction to probes can create political pressure that weakens Western resolve.
- Loud criticism of measured responses risks rewarding Kremlin coercion by shaping domestic politics.
Downplay Theatrics And Use Deterrent Messaging
- Play down trivial Russian theatrics and use humour to undermine Kremlin prestige.
- Use measured military responses while framing incidents as childish to reduce escalation incentives.
