Bulwark Takes The Bulwark’s 2025 Predictions Are Put On Trial
Dec 25, 2025
Mona Charen, a conservative columnist and commentator, serves as the judge for a lively review of The Bulwark's 2025 predictions. The discussion covers Trump's health and presidential pardons, with Charen awarding points for accuracy. The panel scores high for predictions about MAGA infighting but misses on forecasts of physical altercations and cabinet shake-ups. They also debate the likelihood of Mark Cuban's presidential run and the timing of an AI bubble. This entertaining analysis of recent political events reveals just how challenging predicting the future can be!
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Trump's Health: Decline Not Crisis
- Tim Stein predicted a Trump health event but the panel judged only signs of decline rather than a discrete event.
- Mona Charen awarded partial credit, noting visible cognitive and physical decline without a defined health incident.
Pardon Prediction Met By Dismissal
- Will's prediction that Trump would pardon Eric Adams missed a literal pardon but correctly anticipated an equivalent legal outcome.
- Mona Charen awarded full credit because dismissal achieved the same practical effect as a pardon.
MAGA Infighting Surpassed Expectations
- A prediction of increased MAGA infighting was judged spot-on and given top marks by the panel.
- The hosts noted the infighting's scale exceeded even their own expectations.