Capital imbalances and why David Daglio is a reformed value investor
May 10, 2024
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David Daglio, a reformed value investor, discusses capital imbalances, investing in bonds, miners, and protecting portfolios. Topics include gold vs gold miners, Jerome Powell's challenges, 10-year yield, AI, copper, nat gas, US vs rest of the world, and macro volatility. Insightful discussion on US exceptionalism, NVIDIA chipsets, global investment opportunities, and self-awareness in investing decisions.
Success in investing lies in identifying capital imbalances, not traditional metrics.
Investors should diversify globally and capitalize on emerging opportunities like AI and infrastructure investments.
Deep dives
David Daggleo's Journey in the Investment World
David Daggleo reflects on his entry into the investment world after realizing his passion for business and financials. Despite initial challenges as a value investor, he emphasizes the need to look beyond traditional metrics and focus on capital imbalances for successful investments. His evolving approach highlights the importance of adapting and learning from past mistakes.
Navigating Market Trends and Investment Strategies
Daggleo explores emerging opportunities within the AI sector and the significance of infrastructure in data center build-outs. He suggests investing in semiconductor companies and the copper market due to the essential role they play. Additionally, he shares insights on potential investment areas like natural gas to capitalize on changing trends.
International Investing Perspectives: Examining US Exceptionalism
Amid discussions on US exceptionalism and economic growth, Daggleo considers diversifying investments globally. He highlights the potential of markets like Greece, emphasizing growth prospects and favorable valuations. While acknowledging the allure of US markets, he suggests a shift towards international sectors, including opportunities in China.
Self-Awareness in Investment Decisions
Daggleo underscores the significance of self-awareness in investment decisions, stressing the importance of understanding personal biases and risk tolerance. He shares insights on the psychological aspects of investing, urging investors to align their strategies with their individual strengths and preferences. By emphasizing self-awareness and aligning investments with personal comfort levels, investors can navigate market challenges effectively.
David Daglio shares why value investing has everything to do with looking for capital imbalances (2:00). Go short to get long bonds, miners and how investors should protect their portfolios (5:40). Gold vs gold miners (9:25). Why Jerome Powell has the most impossible job (13:00). Thoughts on the 10-year yield (19:40). AI, copper, nat gas and a huge capital spending experiment (21:10). US vs the rest of the world (28:20).
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