The Bitcoin Layer Bitcoin’s Hidden Signals REVEALED in the TBL Chart Pack
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Jun 24, 2025 Augustine Carrasco, lead statistician at The Bitcoin Layer, dives into macro and on-chain dynamics that shape Bitcoin today. He explores how long-term holding returns reveal investment advantages and analyzes the impact of ETF flows on market strategy. The conversation highlights Bitcoin's interplay with financial metrics, emphasizing how macro volatility and inflation expectations could influence its future. Strategies for trading based on liquidity indicators are shared, presenting actionable insights for investors.
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Enhance Hodling Returns Chart
- Add descriptive points on the hodling returns chart for key return multipliers like 3x, 10x, and 100x.
- This helps viewers quickly grasp the powerful long-term growth of holding Bitcoin.
ETF Flows and Price Consolidation
- Bitcoin ETF inflows can coincide with price consolidation because long-term holders may be selling.
- Analyzing ETF flows alongside changes in realized market cap reveals these offsetting dynamics.
TBL Liquidity Cycles as Signals
- The TBL Liquidity Index shows cyclical buy and sell zones across roughly 84-day periods.
- Buying in low liquidity zones has historically outperformed buy-and-hold Bitcoin strategies over recent years.