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Foreign Policy Live

A ‘Red Line’ for Biden?

Jan 30, 2024
Geopolitical analyst Ian Bremmer forecasts conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, concerns over Trump's reelection, improving US-China relations, and the future of AI in 2024.
47:56

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The recent drone attack in Jordan represents a red line for the Biden administration, leading to potential retaliation and escalation of conflict in the Middle East.
  • Ukraine is likely to face de facto partition in the near future, with the US and its allies working to transition into a defensive posture to ensure Ukraine's survival.

Deep dives

Drone attack in Jordan raises tension in the Middle East

The recent drone attack in Jordan, suspected to be backed by Iran, which resulted in the deaths of three American service members and injured many others, has escalated tensions in the Middle East. There is pressure on the White House to respond to this attack, with some calling for a direct attack on Iran. This attack represents a red line for the Biden administration and has created a nightmare scenario. The US will likely retaliate, potentially with strikes against the groups involved in the attack, as well as Iranian military assets. However, this could further escalate the conflict in the region, with the possibility of a broader Middle East war.

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