

Trump GETS WRECKED by Polls as Simon Rosenberg and Tom Bonier WEIGH IN
Sep 19, 2024
Simon Rosenberg, a political analyst from Hopium Chronicles, and Tom Bonier, a data expert from Target Smart, dive deep into the shifting electoral landscape. They discuss the decline in Trump’s popularity amongst key demographics and the rising voter registration among younger and diverse groups. The duo highlights polling strategies in swing states and contrasts Republican narratives with actual trends. Optimism shines as they emphasize the importance of proactive campaigning and voter engagement in this crucial election cycle.
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Debate Impact
- Kamala Harris's debate performance shifted the election by 1-2 points.
- Post-debate polls consistently show her up by an average of four points.
Republican Polling Tactics
- Republicans are using the same polling tactics as in 2022, flooding swing states with biased polls.
- They're focusing on Pennsylvania, Arizona, and North Carolina, showing concern over those states.
Trump Overperformance Narrative
- Republicans push the false narrative that Trump overperforms polls, despite Harris leading.
- This happened in 2020 as well, ignoring Democratic bias claims from then.