Bloomberg Surveillance

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Andrew Hollenhorst & Matthew Hornbach

Sep 17, 2025
Tune in for a deep dive into the Federal Reserve's recent decisions. Experts Andrew Hollenhorst and Matthew Hornbach debate whether the latest moves signal a one-time adjustment or the beginning of a broader cut cycle. They also explore how Chair Powell's legacy might influence future policies. Get ready for insights that could impact your understanding of the economy!
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INSIGHT

Fed Meeting Feels Like A Pathway

  • The Fed decision day felt like flying on a set path with markets watching each turn closely.
  • Andrew Hollenhorst frames the key question as whether recent moves are a tweak or the start of a real cut cycle.
ADVICE

Ask If Cuts Are A Cycle Or A Tweak

  • Ask whether this is a one-off adjustment or the start of a rate-cut cycle when assessing policy moves.
  • Calibrate your expectations around inflation and tariff uncertainty before assuming a multi-meeting easing path.
INSIGHT

Calendar Overrules Short-Term Noise

  • The calendar toward the end of Powell's tenure is more important than other market noise right now.
  • Tom Keene emphasizes the march of time as a primary market influence ahead of future decisions.
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