Balance of Power

Trump Mulls Next Venezuela Move

Dec 1, 2025
Iain Marlow, Bloomberg's National Security Editor, examines the potential implications of U.S. strikes on Venezuelan territory, raising war crime concerns and questioning the limits of U.S. authority over Venezuelan airspace. Rick Davis shares insights on Capitol Hill's response and oversight plans regarding the Pentagon's communication and accountability. Ben Jensen highlights modern negotiation dynamics in peace talks, emphasizing the role of security guarantees and AI simulations in predicting outcomes. A discussion on President Trump's recent comments adds a political twist.
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INSIGHT

Legal Risk Of Double-Tap Strikes

  • Iain Marlow says verbal "kill everyone" orders in strikes would likely be a war crime under international law.
  • He notes legal cover used by the administration declaring non-armed combat with cartels raises questions about targeting and enemy-combatant status.
INSIGHT

Unclear Legal Basis For Airspace And Strikes

  • Marlow highlights that declaring Venezuela airspace "closed" or acting unilaterally has unclear legal footing.
  • He says the administration's aggressive strikes seem aimed at intimidation rather than traditional apprehension and prosecution.
ADVICE

Follow The Chain Of Command Quickly

  • Rick Davis urges swift answers tracing the chain of command if a second strike occurred.
  • He warns prolonged uncertainty will cause political damage to the administration by week's end.
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