Russian counter-offensive tried to ‘bisect’ Ukrainian troops & US promises to do 'whatever necessary' for Kyiv
Sep 12, 2024
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Ben Riley-Smith, Political Editor with experience in Kyiv, shares insights on Russia's counterattack strategy in the Kursk region. He, alongside Defence Associate Editor Dominic Nicholls and Assistant Comment Editor Francis Dearnley, discusses the intense battlefield dynamics and the implications for both Russia and Ukraine. The trio delves into military assistance from Western nations, highlighting discussions around potential Storm Shadow missile deployments and the complex diplomacy surrounding Ukraine's path to peace amidst ongoing conflict.
Russia's recent counterattacks in Kursk demonstrate an ongoing stalemate in the conflict, with both sides struggling for territorial control.
Diplomatic discussions involving increased military support for Ukraine signal a potential shift in Western policy in response to escalating tensions.
Deep dives
Russian Counterattacks in Oekraïne
Russian forces have initiated counterattacks in the Kursk region, recapturing strategic positions near Zarevly and pushing north of Snagos. Ukrainian military sources indicate that their troops are actively repelling these assaults, with reports of localized cross-border engagements. This ongoing conflict reflects a high degree of uncertainty, as both sides struggle for control of territory within the complex front lines. Despite claims of Russian successes, the conflicting reports hint at a stalemate where neither side is making significant territorial gains.
Political Developments in Kyiv
Diplomatic activities in Kyiv have intensified, particularly with the recent visit of U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and British Foreign Minister David Lammy. Their discussions emphasized the potential reassessment of Ukraine's military support, particularly regarding long-range missile capabilities. Both officials highlighted the evolving nature of the conflict, suggesting that increased military aid could be a response to recent escalations by Russia. This signals a possible shift in policy, where Western powers may greenlight deeper military assistance to bolster Ukraine's defenses.
Impact of Iranian Ballistic Missiles on Global Relations
The revelation that Iran has supplied Russia with ballistic missiles has ramifications for diplomatic strategies among Western nations. This new development raises concerns over Russia's military capabilities and necessitates a reconsideration of support for Ukraine by allies in Europe and North America. The urgency expressed by UK and US diplomacy signals that discussions about military assistance are evolving, potentially leading to more aggressive stances against Russian hostilities. As the situation unfolds, diplomatic discussions around the implications of these missile supplies are crucial for assessing future military support.
Security Guarantees and Peace Negotiations
A vital yet often overlooked conversation involves what security guarantees Ukraine may need for any peace settlement with Russia. Amidst talks of potential negotiations, discussions about NATO membership for Ukraine have gained traction, reflecting concerns that Russia could regroup and launch future assaults if security assurances are insufficient. The complex interplay of international dynamics raises questions about whether Western powers are prepared to offer meaningful guarantees to ensure Ukraine's sovereignty. This dialogue highlights the delicate balance between seeking an immediate resolution to hostilities and ensuring long-term stability in the region.
Today, we report on Russia’s counter attack in Kursk and are live in Poland with the Telegraph's Political Editor Ben Riley-Smith, who has been with the US Secretary of State and British Foreign Minister in Kyiv.
Contributors:
Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.
Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.
Ben Riley-Smith (Political Editor). @Benrileysmith on X.