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Power Problems

Negotiating Peace in Ukraine

Dec 24, 2024
Anatol Lieven, Director of the Eurasia Program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, shares insights on the shifting landscape of the Ukraine war post-Trump's election. He highlights the complexities of peace negotiations, including territorial disputes and NATO membership. Discussing the differing Russian perspectives, he emphasizes the need for compromises and the involvement of global powers like BRICS to forge a constructive dialogue. The conversation also delves into the challenges of demilitarization and the essential role of Western support in shaping outcomes.
42:42

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Quick takeaways

  • Ukrainian willingness to negotiate reflects a strategic shift in response to political changes, emphasizing the need for dialogue to maintain Western support.
  • In Russia, a split perspective on the war's outcome shows a push for negotiation amidst doubts about military strategy and territorial integrity.

Deep dives

Shifting Ukrainian Expectations

Ukrainian expectations are changing in light of recent political developments, particularly following Trump's re-election. The realization has dawned on Ukraine that its pursuit of complete military victory may risk losing support from key international allies like the Trump administration, especially with figures opposed to ongoing aid. Public opinion in Ukraine is likewise shifting toward a willingness to negotiate, acknowledging the complexities of the battlefield and the need for dialogue. This awareness prompts Ukraine to seek compromise to maintain support from its Western partners, primarily the United States.

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