The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 1018: Mailbag - Keon Coleman's Week 1, Kenneth Walker's Value, and More
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Sep 12, 2025 This discussion tackles Keon Coleman's promising Week 1 performance and whether it's sustainable. Concerns rise about David Njoku with competition from Harold Fannin. The value of Kenneth Walker comes into question as well, sparking debate among fantasy enthusiasts. The hosts delve into player usage and team dynamics, emphasizing the importance of careful trading and patience in the early season. With insights into NFL statistics and the shifting landscape of player roles, listeners get a comprehensive view of fantasy football's current state.
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Coleman's Usage Signals True Role
- Keon Coleman's Week 1 spike wasn't purely script-driven because his route participation and target share matched late-2024 trends.
- Those usage peripherals imply a real role increase, so expect Coleman to outperform his ADP despite noisy game script.
Use Peripherals Over Box Scores
- Focus on stable peripherals like route participation and target share to judge a player's true role.
- Use those metrics to adjust for volatile game script instead of relying on raw box-score volume.
Fannin Lowers Njoku's Ceiling
- Harold Fannin's early deployment and slot usage materially reduces David Njoku's fantasy ceiling by taking target share.
- Fannin may overtake Njoku gradually because he fills a distinct need and profiles as a high-upside rookie route-runner.