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*Causal Inference From Human Behavior, Reproducibility Crisis & The Power of Causal Graphs*

Is Jonathan Heidt right that social media causes the mental health crisis in young people?

If so, how can we be sure?

Can other disciplines learn something from the reproducibility crisis in Psychology, and what is multiverse analysis?

Join us for a conversation on causal inference from human behavior, the reproducibility crisis in sciences, and the power of causal graphs!

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Audio version available on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YQetmI-y5gM
Recorded on May 16, 2025, in Leipzig, Germany.

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*About The Guest*
Julia Rohrer, PhD, is a researcher and personality psychologist at the University of Leipzig. She's interested in the effects of birth order, age patterns in personality, human well-being, and causal inference. Her works have been published in top journals, including Nature Human Behavior. She has been an active advocate for increased research transparency, and she continues this mission as a senior editor of Psychological Science. Julia frequently gives talks about good practices in science and causal inference. You can read Julia's blog at https://www.the100.ci/

*Links*
Papers

- Rohrer, J. (2024) "Causal inference for psychologists who think that causal inference is not for them" (https://compass.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/spc3.12948)

- Bailey, D., ..., Rohrer, J. et al (2024) "Causal inference on human behaviour" (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-024-01939-z.epdf)

- Rohrer, J. et al (2024) "The Effects of Satisfaction with Different Domains of Life on General Life Satisfaction Vary Between Individuals (But We Cannot Tell You Why)" (https://doi.org/10.1525/collabra.121238)

- Rohrer et al (2017) "Probing Birth-Order Effects on Narrow Traits Using Specification-Curve Analysis" (https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0956797617723726)

Books

- Watts, D. (2012) "Everything Is Obvious: How Common Sense Fails Us" (https://amzn.to/3Z384V6)

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