Commercial Real Estate Investing From A-Z How Will the Coronavirus Impact the Real Estate Market?
The black swan has arrived in our economy, the Coronavirus has taken an unprecedented, unanticipated curve in our economy. What will the impacts be in the commercial real estate market? We talked with experienced real estate investors that have been through a few economic downturns to get their perspective on what we should do during this time. We spoke with George Ross, he has done more real estate deals in New York City than virtually anyone else alive today. We also noted thoughts from other notable investors like Neal Bawa and Kathy Fettke.
You can read this entire episode here: https://montecarlorei.com/how-will-the-coronavirus-impact-the-real-estate-market/
What are specific steps that we can take to prepare ourselves? If we currently own commercial properties, should we start talking to banks, or any other ideas?
No, wait. Banks will talk to you, because they don’t know what to do either. Imagine, for example, that a bank has so many millions of dollars in mortgages in houses and all the people stopped paying. Now, what does the bank do? Well, they’re not going to be solvent. This is money that they anticipated coming in. And they don’t have it. So what do you do? The banks don’t know what to do. That’s where they come to the government and say, hey, here’s my problem. I don’t know what the end result is, but I do feel that, and I feel very strongly about it, that ultimately the government will come in and step in and help the banks if they have a need. They’ll pump a tremendous amount of money in. And we’re talking about trillions if necessary. We only know it’s necessary once the effect has become critical. It’s not a big problem if somebody misses a payment for a month on a mortgage. What happens if they miss it for a year? Now you’re talking about an entirely different situation. What happens if they never have the money to repay it?
Do you also think we should wait if we think now is the right time to buy real estate?
Where are you going to get the money? If you went out to buy a piece of property, you’ll want to get a bank loan. They’re going to be very hesitant because they’re not going to want to make loans. They should, they have plenty of money. But they don’t want to make loans. I don’t know the answer to it. But if you had some money sitting there, or you can raise the money yourself from savings, or from refinancing debt that you have, and you have excess money – that’s your down payment. So don’t put up a lot of cash. Just put a down payment, take an option to buy. I wouldn’t go haywire. But if a deal comes up that you think is really good, you’ll get unbelievable negotiating position because they’ll panic.
And those who panic just overreact. I can see overreaction in certain instances, but I can’t see overreaction when it comes to real estate. It has a long history with ups and downs. If the seller is very nervous and wants to do the deal, you’ll get some fantastic deals. You’ll be able to buy property with no cash. But you will have some kind of agreement to pay with something down. People will want to get out of it because it’s not money making. the money that I was anticipating, therefore, they don’t like that and they say let that be somebody else’s headache. Somebody buys and says, okay, I’ll take the headache. But they’re not going to pay cash dollars upfront because they have the headache. Somehow they’re going to have to solve that problem. But would it be a good time? Absolutely.
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