36. How I Predict the Outcome of (Almost) Every Investment I Buy (4M Framework)
Nov 20, 2025
Discover the powerful 4M Framework that helps predict investment success. Learn the critical stages of wealth building and how to transition from public to private markets. Find out why analyzing market trends, focusing on margins, and understanding your business's moat are key. Gain insights on strategic selling and how to use other people's money to accelerate your wealth. This framework, tested over 20 years, is your guide to making smarter financial decisions and scaling your investments effectively.
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Stack Skills To Fund Investing
- Stack marketable skills at your job to increase income and create investable savings.
- Reinvest that surplus into small public-market investments to build investing experience and capital.
Private Markets Are Wealth Accelerators
- Private markets are where disproportionate wealth is built through asset stacking and leverage.
- Use OPM and private investments as wealth accelerators once you have skill and capital base.
The 4M Decision Framework
- The 4M Framework predicts investment and business success by assessing Market, Moat, Margin, and Management.
- Use these four factors as a repeatable go/no-go checklist before investing or starting a business.
