
Redefining Energy 200. “200 slides, Energy, AI, and the End of ESG” with Nat Bullard - Oct25
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Oct 20, 2025 In this engaging discussion, Nat Bullard, a leading analyst in climate and energy and co-founder of AI company Halcyon, shares insights on electrification and the evolving geopolitics of energy. He highlights how entrenched fossil fuel interests are impeding progress, particularly in countries like Germany and Japan. Nat also discusses innovative financing for solar deployment in regions like Pakistan and expresses optimism for growth in Africa. With his renowned 200-slide deck methodology, he provides a compelling look at the future of decarbonization and AI's impact on the energy sector.
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Peaks Vary By Region
- The energy transition is regionally mixed: OECD faces peak fossil use while developing markets still grow demand.
- Renewables are shifting trajectories but have not yet universally bent global fossil fuel curves.
Electrostates Can Leapfrog Infrastructure
- Electrostate vs petrostate frames how countries may organize their future energy systems.
- Some countries can leapfrog to electricity-heavy systems without traditional infrastructure or top-down permission.
Permissionless Financing Powers Solar Uptake
- Distributed actors (e.g., factory owners) finance behind-the-meter solar to avoid unreliable, costly grids.
- This bypasses traditional multilateral finance and creates parallel systems that don't always integrate with incumbents.
