A discussion on investment risks impacting Etsy and Meta, with insights on Etsy's value proposition and Meta's key risks. The podcast explores the impact of new competitors like Timu on Etsy's advertising strategy and analyzes ad tech changes affecting Meta's stock value. It also delves into challenges in marketing strategies and the complexity of digital advertising evolution.
Etsy's growth hinges on expanding beyond occasional purchases to secure repeat customers and broader market appeal.
Meta's strategic shift towards AI-driven solutions and ad targeting reflects efforts to navigate competitive and regulatory challenges in the evolving digital landscape.
Deep dives
Etsy's Business Thesis and Challenges
Etsy's business thesis revolves around becoming a go-to platform for various purchases, aiming to move beyond niche handmade products to capture a broader market. Despite initial growth, Etsy faces a challenge in increasing the frequency of purchases by users, with a significant number only buying once every two years. This issue highlights the need to expand beyond occasional purchases to become a top-of-mind choice for consumers.
Factors Influencing Etsy's Growth and Ad Strategy
Etsy's growth is influenced by factors like habitual buyers and marketing efforts, particularly post-COVID. While the platform saw significant growth, habitual buyers, crucial for sustained growth, have not increased as expected. Additionally, activist investor Elliot's involvement raises questions about Etsy's strategies to boost profit amidst stagnating growth, highlighting the need for effective cost-cutting and revenue growth initiatives.
Challenges in User Experience and Shipping for Etsy
Etsy faces challenges in user experience, specifically related to search functionality. The platform's treasure hunt approach appeals to some users but frustrates others seeking quicker results. Moreover, shipping times and costs pose obstacles, impacting timely purchases, especially for events like gifting occasions. These issues underscore the importance of addressing user preferences and streamlining the buying process on Etsy.
Meta's Challenges and Crux Decisions
Meta faces challenges including competition from TikTok and regulatory uncertainties impacting user engagement and advertising strategies. The company's focus on AI-driven solutions and ad targeting, influenced by Apple's ATT impact, reflects a strategic pivot to maintain profitability. Meta's response to market shifts and technological challenges showcases the complexity of adapting to evolving digital landscapes and consumer behaviors.
On this episode we talk about how investment risks could impact an investment thesis through the lens of Etsy and Meta. We provide a short "timeless" update on both companies as well.
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Show Notes
(0:00) Important Announcement
(0:41) Intro
(3:33) Etsy Value Prop, Issues, and Temu Read-through
(16:41) Meta Risks and The One Thing Investors Needed To Be Sure Of
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Mentioned Links
The Synopsis Meta Company Podcast (Apple, Spotify)
The Synopsis Etsy Company Podcast (Apple, Spotify)
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Email us at info@speedwellresearch.com for any questions, comments, or feedback.
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Disclaimer
Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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