
Doom Debates Liron Enters Bannon's War Room to Explain Why AI Could End Humanity
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Jan 13, 2026 Liron Shapira, host of Doom Debates, discusses the existential risks posed by artificial intelligence. He highlights a shocking ~50% chance of human extinction within 10-20 years due to AGI. Liron outlines potential takeover scenarios, emphasizing nanotechnology and rapid advancements in AI capabilities. Despite identifying as a techno-optimist, he calls for urgent global treaties and grassroots mobilization to address this looming threat. As a father, he reflects on the implications of raising children in a high-risk world and advocates for building a reliable emergency stop for AI systems.
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Even Odds On Near-Term Extinction
- Liron Shapira assigns ~50% P(Doom) for humanity within 10–20 years based on current AI trends.
- He frames extinction as plausible and imminent without major intervention.
Superhuman Minds Enable Sci‑Fi Feats
- Superhuman AI could enable radical technologies like nanotech and Dyson swarms that reshape or consume planetary resources.
- Shapira argues we should expect
Timelines Compressed After ChatGPT
- Expert consensus timelines shifted sharply after ChatGPT, converging near 2032 with large uncertainty.
- Shapira personally thinks AGI could arrive within 1–5 years and would be surprised if not within 10.

