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Making Markets

Bob Elliott: The Goldilocks Economy - [Making Markets, EP.34]

Jun 21, 2024
53:51
Snipd AI
Former CIO of Unlimited Funds, Bob Elliot, discusses the current market cycle, US deficit, inflation, and bond yields. He explains the Fed's reaction function and shares insights on gold, bitcoin, housing, commercial real estate, and private equity.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The concept of a 'Goldilocks economy' highlights moderate growth in the current economic phase, leading to a reset of growth expectations in the market.
  • Income-driven expansion differs from past credit-dependent cycles post-GFC, emphasizing sustainable economic growth driven by income rather than credit.

Deep dives

Goldilocks Economy and Growth Expectations Reset in the Stock Market

In the podcast, the concept of a 'Goldilocks economy' is discussed, where the economy is suggested to be in a phase of moderate growth. Expectations for US growth in 2024 were initially low, but a rally in stocks occurred due to a reset of growth expectations. While signs of economic moderation are evident, there is a extrapolation of strong growth conditions in the equity market, causing a potential imbalance in growth and expectations.

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