The tastylive network Overtime - November 6, 2025 - OVERTIME
Nov 6, 2025
Join Chris and Elias as they dissect the recent market reactions to the Fed's moves, tariffs, and earnings surprises. Elias shares his thoughts on shorting crypto amid falling markets. They explore significant macro drivers like FAA cuts and strong earnings, while examining key technical signals suggesting market capitulation. Discover their insights on gold accumulation amidst deglobalization and effective trading strategies for precious metals. Plus, the duo debates the implications of potential tariff changes and private credit concerns.
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Perfection Pricing Broke On Fed Surprise
- Markets were priced for perfection and the Fed's hawkish surprise forced a sentiment reset.
- Ilya Pivak says that shifting Fed expectations turned a bullish backdrop into a liquidation event.
Crypto Leads Risk Sentiment
- Crypto often leads risk moves and is the first to top and first to bottom.
- Chris Vecchio notes Bitcoin's weakness signals deteriorating underlying risk sentiment.
Sell Premium On Gold Pullbacks
- Sell premium to capture volatility contraction on gold pullbacks rather than buying naked direction.
- Ilya Pivak recommends short-vol directional exposure while waiting for a clear range break.