The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis 50 AI Predictions for 2026 - Part 1
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Dec 29, 2025 In a deep dive into AI's future, topics include the predicted shift towards more frequent model releases and the importance of user experience in product design. The rise of vibe coding is highlighted, emphasizing its impact beyond engineering, while bespoke personal software is set to empower new entrepreneurs. A transformative year for enterprises is anticipated, with a focus on measuring AI's ROI and embracing tailored solutions. The lines between assistants and agents are blurred, signaling a shift towards agent management.
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Steady Model Progress, Not Rapid Singularity
- Model progress will likely stay on a steady trajectory driven by new hardware rather than recursive self-improvement.
- Nathaniel Whittemore expects Blackwell/Hopper-class chips to sustain capability growth through 2026.
Frequent Model Releases Become The Norm
- Expect many more model releases and sub-variants to avoid risk from over-indexing on one big launch.
- Whittemore predicts frequent incremental releases will become the norm after GPT-5's lessons.
Model Choice Will Be Vibe-Driven
- Model choice will increasingly be 'vibe-based' when baseline capabilities are similar.
- Users will pick models for style and UX, not just raw skill, for many writing and research tasks.