

SMS - 250 Yards Left on Par 5, 5 Index, Birdie vs Bogey or Worse
Oct 4, 2025
Can a single-digit golfer birdie a par 5 from 250 yards? The hosts reveal compelling stats: a mere 15% chance for a birdie and a 25% risk of bogey or worse. They discuss the importance of smart shot selection, including when to play conservatively and aim away from hazards. Listeners learn how to interpret these statistics to improve their game and lower their scores. Plus, they share practical strategies for targeting off-green areas to avoid penalties. Perfect for your drive to the course or morning coffee!
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Realistic Odds From 250 Yards
- A five-handicap golfer 250 yards from a par-5 green makes birdie only 15% of the time.
- They make bogey or worse 25% of the time, so par is a strong outcome to accept.
Prioritize Avoiding Big Numbers
- Treat a par as a good result when a par-5 second shot carries risk.
- Prioritize avoiding bogeys and big numbers over forcing a low-percentage birdie.
Reachability Often Brings Extra Risk
- A reachable par-5 often has severe consequences for a miss because hazards cluster around reachable greens.
- That risk forces players to adjust shot selection and aim based on the hole's unique contours.