Jonathan Broder and Major General (ret) Paul Eaton discuss Russia, Ukraine, NATO, and the US military's belief in the Big Lie. Topics include potential coup after the next election, Russian troops in Ukraine, Russia's concerns about Germany's reunification and NATO, war weariness in the US, the possibility of an independent European army, implications of Russian invasion in Ukraine, freedom of speech in the US military, and the importance of loyalty in the military.
Russia's massing of troops on Ukraine's border raises the threat of a potential invasion and the most dangerous confrontation between the US and Russia since the collapse of the Soviet Union.
The infiltration of the 'Stop the Steal' movement and doubts about the elected president pose risks for the US military and democracy, highlighting the need to address partisan influences within the military and war-game scenarios to prepare for such situations.
Deep dives
Ukraine's Border Crisis with Russia
Ukraine's Ministry of Defense estimates 120,000 Russian troops massed on its border, raising fears of a potential invasion. Vice President Kamala Harris stated severe consequences for Russia if an invasion occurs, including sanctions. The situation is considered the most dangerous confrontation between the US and Russia since the Soviet Union's collapse. Russia seeks guarantees that Ukraine will never join NATO and no missiles will be stationed in Eastern Europe. Ukraine's NATO membership invitation is a concern for Putin, who wants Ukraine to remain neutral.
The Potential for Partisan Breakdown in the US Military
Three former generals expressed concern about a breakdown of the chain of command along partisan lines in the US military. They highlighted three events: military involvement in the January 6th events, a letter questioning the 2020 election's legitimacy, and the Oklahoma National Guard commander's refusal to comply with a vaccination order. The infiltration of the 'Stop the Steal' movement and doubts about the elected president pose risks for the military and overall democracy. The authors advocate war-gaming scenarios and emphasize the need to address partisan influences within the military.
Challenges in Addressing Extremism in the Military
The op-ed's author, retired Major General Paul Eaton, discusses the challenges of addressing extremism in the military. He emphasizes the effect of misinformation and the importance of instilling faith in the electoral system among troops. Major General Eaton suggests strengthening civics education for military personnel, enhancing intelligence capabilities, and exploring the balance between free speech and identifying extremist views. The Pentagon's proposed measures, such as vetting recruits and monitoring social media, are seen as initial steps, although the challenge remains complex.
Concerns About Military Veterans and Radicalization
Retired military personnel, particularly those actively being recruited by extremist groups, pose challenges. While retired veterans are subject to the Uniform Code of Military Justice, non-retired veterans can be radicalized as free agents, as evidenced by their involvement in the January 6th insurrection. Addressing this issue and modifying the behavior of individuals with military skills is difficult. It requires a comprehensive approach involving society, education, and careful consideration of legal recourse to mitigate the problem.
This week: Jeff Stein talks with contributing editor for Spytalk Jonathan Broder about Russia, Ukraine, NATO, and the United States; retired Major General Paul Eaton talks with Jeanne Meserve about the growing problem of members of the US military believing the Big Lie.