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Checks and Balance from The Economist
Checks and Balance: Year all about it
Nov 17, 2023
John Sides from Vanderbilt University and Ed Carr from The Economist join host John Prideaux to discuss the upcoming 2024 presidential election, analyzing early polls and predicting voter perceptions. They also explore Barack Obama's surprising re-election victory and the divisions within the democratic coalition. The hosts emphasize the importance of understanding voter concerns in swing states for future elections.
50:27
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Quick takeaways
- Polls indicate that if the 2024 US presidential election were held tomorrow, Donald Trump would likely be the favorite to win, but it is crucial to look beyond headlines and overreactions to understand the actual race.
- A second term for Donald Trump could have significant implications for the world beyond America, with potential challenges to global order, strained security alliances, and the undermining of America's moral authority and credibility abroad.
Deep dives
Assessing the Current State of the US Presidential Election
With the 2024 US presidential election less than a year away, polls indicate that if the election were held tomorrow, Donald Trump would likely be the favorite to win. However, it is important to note that polling a year prior to an election has little predictive value. Other national polls show a tight race between Trump and his potential Democratic opponent, emphasizing the need to look beyond headlines and overreactions to polls. As the election approaches, it is crucial to consider the potential implications of a second Trump term and how the world outside of America should prepare for that possibility.
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